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SZ China Refining Monthly Report-Aug’2011
[Friday, Oct. 28, 2011] PRINT EMAIL FAV PDF

Editorial: China’s Crude Oil Import Dependence Exceeds 50%, Raises Security Concerns

 
China crude oil imports are speeded up. The customs data show China crude oil imported 215,000,000 mt in first 11 months of 2010, exceeding the warning level of dependence on foreign oil for the second time.
 
In early August, MIIT showed China crude consumption has been 191,000,000 mt, up 8.5% on year in the first half of 2011.Foreign dependence has been 55.2%,overtake the United States’ s 53.5%.It is the first time for China to break the record of United States on foreign dependence.
 
But on Aug 14, NDRC shows that China’s crude consumption on foreign oil during the first half of 2011, while the US’s data is 61%, which is calculated by the US EIA’ s data in the first 5 month. It means China has not overtaken the US on foreign oil dependence.
 
Although US’s oil import is much higher than China now, it’s basically reached the peak of energy consumption. But China’s future energy demand remains strong and domestic oil production is still in limited. China’s oil consumption peak is hard to forecasting. So it is hard to say China’s oil import dependence will make China’s oil import right to be controlled by others.
 
No matter was China overtake the US, China’s crude consumption has been break the warning level of 50%.For US, they have increased their efforts to develop unconventional oil and gas resources and development of new energy sources. It is all good means to reduce its dependence on foreign oil.
 
At present, China has published much policy to promote its development of unconventional oil and gas. China government is now encourage the shale gas, shale oil and coal chemical industry to improve China’s energy structure. And they also make a good plan on China’s 12th five year plan to increase the use of natural gas.
 
 

 

 
Index:
 
                                                           
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