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SZ China Refining Monthly Report-Jan’2010
[Sunday, Oct. 24, 2010] PRINT EMAIL FAV PDF

China Refining Monthly Report-Jan’2010 1
1 China Refining Topic News 5
1. 1 China top refineries to start 2010 with record runs 5
1. 2 China surprise monetary tightening affect regional petrochemical trading 5
1. 3 China’s freezing weather puts pressure on fuel supplies 6
1. 4 China Nov crude stocks drop slightly from Oct 6
1. 5 China’s reliance on foreign crude hits record-high 51% in Jan-Nov’09 7
1. 6 China depending more on imported oil  - China may maintain two-digit growth rate of crude imports in 2010 7
1. 7 China major fuel stocks up 2.4% in Dec’2009 8
1. 8 China’s product oil market to be oversupplied in 2010 –Sinopec 8
1. 9 China’s Sichuan meets new round of refined oil competition 8
1. 10 First phase of China’s strategic oil reserve project finished –NDRC 9
1. 11 CNAF to build new wave of oil products storage tanks 9
1. 12 China Lianyungang plans to build major oil base 9
1. 13 Changqing rises to China’s 2nd largest oilfield with 30-mil mt output 2009 10
1. 14 Kunlun lube oil market share leads in China market 10
1. 15 China to start 3-mil mt per year of ethylene facilities in 2010 10
1. 16 China PE/PP capacity expansion to outpace demand growth in 2010 11
1. 17 Zhejiang Tongkun gets approval from NDRC for new PTA project 12
1. 18 Liaoning Huajin Chemical starts operating 5-mil mt/yr refining project early Dec’2009 12
1. 19 China’s Taiyuan Petrochemical to build 100,000mt/y lube oil project in Tianjin 13
1. 20 Qatar eyes $5.6 billion olefin plant in Hainan, South China 13
1. 21 Sudan and China discuss expansion of Khartoum refinery 13
1. 22 PetroChina cut down Jan settlement price for Daqing crude supplied to Sinopec by 2.3% 14
1. 23 China’s largest crude jetty expected to come on stream in Dalian soon 14
1. 24 Majority provinces in China to promote use of GB III gasoline in H1’10 14
1. 25 S. China’s Guangdong expects to exclusively use GB III vehicle fuel within 2010 16
1. 26 China’s Zhejiang province adopts GBIII gasoline 16
1. 26 China Oil Supply-Demand Overview in Dec’2009 16
Jan-Dec’09 Domestic crude runs & oil products production: 17
Dec’09 Domestic crude runs & oil products production: 17
China’s Crude Throughput & oil Products Yield Rate in Jan-Dec’09: 18
1. 27 Gasoline/Gas Oil Vs LPG prices in S. China & E. China over the past three months 19
Curve 1: Gasoline/Gas Oil Vs LPG prices in S. China over the past 3 months: US$/6.83/113% or /117% 19
Curve 2: Gasoline/Gas Oil Vs LPG prices in E. China over the past 3 months: US$/6.83/113% or /117% 19
2 Major Refineries 19
2. 1 Sinopec 19
2. 1. 1 Sinopec to boost Jan crude throughput by 14% on yearly to 16.27-mil mt 19
2. 1. 2 Sinopec sees oil processing volume rise to 182-mil mt in 2009, sales lag 20
2. 1. 3 China power rationing cuts Sinopec’s crude output in Shandong 20
2. 1. 4 Sinopec: almost 90-mil mt crude oil transported via pipelines in 2009 21
2. 1. 5 Sinopec wraps up monopoly for petcoke sales business 21
2. 1. 6 Sinopec’s fuel sales up 1.8% 2009 21
2. 1. 7 Business conditions may continue challenging in 2010, says Sinopec 22
2. 1. 8 Formosa Petrochemicals mulls collaboration with Sinopec 22
2. 1. 9 S. China - Sinopec Dongxing Refinery started LPG barged sales in H2 Dec’09 22
2. 1. 10 S. China - Sinopec plans to restart Hainan Petrochemical in early Feb 23
2. 1. 11 S. China - Sinopec Maoming to refine 8% more crude in Jan’10 23
2. 1. 12 E. China - Sinopec Fujian may cut down its LPG production by 40% per day end Dec’09 23
2. 1. 13 E. China - Sinopec Zhenhai refines 19.17-mil mt of crude oil in 2009 23
2. 1. 14 E. China - Sinopec completes construction of 1-mil tpa ethylene project at Zhenhai refinery 24
2. 1. 15 E. China - Sinopec Zhenhai to shut down 6-mil mt/yr CDU for maintenance end Feb 24
2. 1. 16 E. China - Sinopec Zhenhai tries to refine Castilla Blend from Colombia 24
2. 1. 17 E. China - Sinopec started operating a unit at Zhenhai refinery to make cleaner gasoline 24
2. 1. 18 E. China - Sinopec Shanghai Jan’s crude throughput up 18% on monthly 25
2. 1. 19 E. China - Sinopec Shanghai to boost Feb crude throughput by 34% yoy 25
2. 1. 20 E. China - Sinopec Gaoqiao’s crude capacity to rise 15% soon 25
2. 1. 21 E. China - Sinopec Jinling Jan crude runs to rise 12% on monthly 25
2. 1. 22 E. China - Ineos Phenol and Sinopec Yangzi Petrochemical plan JV for China’s largest phenol and acetone 26
2. 1. 23 Central China - Sinopec Wuhan to boost crude throughput to record-high 430,000mt in Jan’10 26
2. 1. 24 Central China - Sinopec Jingmen to bring on stream 700,000mt/yr gasoline hydrogenation unit Feb 1 26
2. 1. 25 Central China - Sinopec Anqing kicks off oil refining capacity expansion project 26
2. 1. 26 N. China - Sinopec Tianjin to acquire 15-mil mt annual capacity 27
2. 1. 27 N. China - Sinocpec’s ethylene project in Tianjin starts operation on Jan 16 27
2. 1. 28 N. China - Sinopec Tianjin may export first-ever gasoil cargo end Jan 27
2. 1. 29 N. China - Sinopec Cangzhou to start maintenance on Jul 20’2010 28
2. 1. 30 N. China - Sinopec Qilu to set Jan crude throughput at record high 930,000mt 28
2. 1. 31 N. China - Sinopec Qingdao refinery to cut Feb daily crude run by 1% from Jan 28
2. 1. 31 Sinopec Shengli crude monthly settlement price edges up 1.08% to Yuan 3,922/mt in Jan 29
2. 2 CNPC (Petrochina) 29
2. 2. 1 PetroChina to cut down Jan crude throughput target by 0.57% from Dec’09 29
2. 2. 2 PetroChina subsidiary refineries run rates of base oils units down 30% in 2009 29
2. 2. 3 NE. China - PetroChina Dalian to stop selling LPG via tender from Jan 1, 2010 30
2. 2. 4 NE. China - PetroChina WEPEC to process 750,000mt of crude in Jan, flat on month 30
2. 2. 5 NE. China - PetroChina Jinzhou likely reduce crude throughput in Jan 30
2. 2. 6 NE. China - PetroChina Gaofu’s bitumen output in 2009 up by 60% on year to 1.05-mil mt 31
2. 2. 7 NE. China - PetroChina Liaohe to delay bitumen capacity expansion plan 31
2. 2. 8 NE. China - PetroChina Fushun to refine 2% less crude in 2010 32
2. 2. 9 NE. China - PetroChina Daqing Refinery to sign contract with logistic company for LPG barge sale 32
2. 2. 10 NW. China - PetroChina Lanzhou to process over 1-mil mt of crude in Jan’10 32
2. 2. 11 NW. China - PetroChina Lanzhou starts to supply blended national III standard gasoline 33
2. 2. 12 NW. China - PetroChina Yumen may quit China base oils market in 2010 33
2. 2. 13 NW. China - PetroChina Dushanzi expected to commence Group II base oils production in H2’10 33
2. 2. 14 S. China - PetroChina’s Qinzhou Refinery to go on stream in mid-2010 34
2. 3 CNOOC 34
2. 3. 1 S. China - CNOOC Huizhou refinery estimated to process 7.2-mil mt of crude in 2009 34
2. 3. 2 S. China - CNOOC to supply 240,000mt of gas oil and gasoline to Guangdong in Jan 34
2. 3. 3 S. China - CNOOC starts formal run of 60,000mt/yr bio-diesel project in Hainan 35
2. 3. 4 N. China -CNOOC to build Shanxi fertilizer plants in April 35
2. 4 Independent Refineries 35
2. 4. 1 Shandong independent refineries snap up crude spill from Sinopec Shengli Oilfield 35
2. 4. 2 Shandong Shtar Science & Technology to delay launch of 1.5-mil mt/yr CDU to Mar-Apr’10 36
2. 4. 3 Yuanfeng Asphalt to bring on stream 1.5-mil-mt/yr CDU early 2010 36
2.5 Main China refineries’ Crude Runs and Run Rates in Jan’2010               Unit:10kt 37
2.6 Refinery Turnarounds 38
3 Policy, Regulation & Law 39
3. 1 MOFCOM grants Sinopec and Petrochina with 6.5-mil mt of refined oil products export quota under processing trade in 2010 39
3. 2 CNOOC receives rare license for refined fuel exports 39
3. 3 China grants new licenses for fuel wholesale, storage 40
3. 4 Two coal liquefaction enterprises of Shenhua obtained the oil product wholesale license 40
3. 5 China to continue oil product pricing reform 41
3. 6 China oil product pricing reform brings 228b yuan in tax revenue in first 11 months of 2009 41
3. 7 Xinjiang collects RMB 12.6-bln in taxes on refined oil in 2009 42
3. 8 China unveils two strategic petroleum reserve 42
3. 9 Oil imports hit alarming level in China in 2009 43
3. 10 China could become dependent on petrochemicals import in the long run 43
3. 11 PetroChina Kunlun lifts lubricants ex-refinery price by Yuan 200-300/mt early Jan 44
3. 12 Sinopec, PetroChina to raise naphtha ex-refinery prices by Yuan 140/mt and Yuan 172/mt respctively in Jan 44
3. 13 China’s unit GDP energy consumption cut raised to 5.2% 45
3. 14 China plans to raise primary energy output by 3.6% in 2010 45
3. 15 Chinese vice premier stresses stable energy supply on Jan 13 45
3. 16 China will encourage domestic companies’ overseas investment in natural resources 46
3. 17 Natural gas prices in China seen rising with winter shortage 46
4 China Oil Products Import & Export 47
4. 1 Iraq to double oil supply to China in 2010 47
4. 2 Kuwait’s crude oil exports to China surge 86% in Nov’09, expecting to increase in 2010 47
4. 3 Crude oil imports through S. China’s Guangdong up 8.2% in 2009 48
4. 4 China’s crude imports hit record-high 21.26-mil mt in Dec’09 48
4. 5 China estimated to decrease Jan’s fuel oil imports by 45% on month 49
4. 6 Sinopec Tianjin to export 70,000mt of diesel in Jan’2010 49
4. 7 Sinopec Zhenhai to export fuel oil under processing trade in Feb’2010 49
4. 8 Fuel oil import margin to minus Yuan 880/mt in S. China on import tariff hike 50
4. 9 China to double petcoke import in Jan-Feb’2010 from 2009 to 389,000mt 50
4. 10 Taiwan FPCC to double base oil exports to Mainland in Jan’2010 50
4. 11 E. China’s Dec’09 fuel oil imports estimated up 54% on month to 200,000mt 51
4. 12 S. China’s fuel oil imports estimated to stay low at 350,000-400,000mt in Dec’09 51
4. 13 S. China Nov’09 fuel exports above forecast, Dec’09 seen higher 52
4. 14 PetroChina Dalian to export 10,000mt of base oils in Dec’09 52
4. 15 China’s gasoline exports up 71% yoy to 485,600mt in Nov’09 52
4. 16 China’s Nov’09 bitumen imports down by 5.25% on monthly 53
4. 17 OIL DATA: Oil Products Imports & Exports in China in Nov’ 09 53
5 Jan-Dec’2009 China Data 54
5.1 Jan-Dec’09 Crude Oil Production in China      Unit: KMt 54
5.2 Jan-Dec’09 China Refineries on Crude Throughput      Unit: KMt 55
5.3 Jan-Dec’09 China Refineries on Gasoline/Gas Oil production   Unit: KMt 56
5.4 Jan-Dec’09 China Refineries on Kerosene & Fuel Oil production   Unit: KMt 57
5.5 Jan-Dec’09 China Refineries on LPG & Asphalt production      Unit: KMt 58
 

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