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SZ China Refining Monthly Report-Mar’2010
[Sunday, Oct. 24, 2010] PRINT EMAIL FAV PDF

China Refining Monthly Report-Mar’2010 1
1 China Refining Topic News 5
1. 1 China’s top refineries to cut Mar runs 5.6% 5
1. 2 China’s refining to rise, boosting crude purchases 6
1. 3 China’s oil demand expected to grow faster in 2010 6
1. 4 Strong China oil demand undercut by Feb stock build 6
1. 5 China refines 30.14-mil mt of crude oil in Jan 7
1. 6 China’s crude throughput surges 23% on yearly in first two months 7
1. 7 China ethylene cracker projects to see rapid capacity growth 8
1. 8 China gas oil market expects uptrend in Mar on improving demand 10
1. 9 China producers raise PP, PE prices in China 10
1. 10 Zhejiang Huachen Energy to build 250,000mt/yr LPG deep processing project 11
1. 11 Run rate of China’s bitumen facilities rebounds in mid-Mar 11
1. 12 China’s bitumen demand to reach 17-mil mt in 2010: senior official with PetroChina Fuel Oil 12
1. 13 China’s Feb bitumen output down 2.19% from Jan 12
1. 14 China’s crude stocks rise to 26.8-mil mt end-Jan 12
1. 15 S. China commercial fuel oil inventory rises to 1.4-mil mt on weak demand during Chinese New Year holiday 13
1. 16 Shandong commercial fuel oil stocks up 36.5% on inflow of Venezuelan cargoes 13
1. 17 China major fuel stocks up 12.0 pct in Feb; refined oil product stocks climb to 17.78-mil mt end-Jan 14
1. 18 PetroChina, Sinopec control base oils supply after holiday 14
1. 19 China Petcoke consumption from silicon users may shrink 3/4 in Mar-Apr 14
1. 20 Chinese oil refineries profits fall to new low in Feb 15
1. 21 Major Chinese refineries see refining margins hit 6-month high in Mar on laggard rises in crude costs 15
1. 22 China refined oil product prices to rise in 2010 – President of Sinopec Shanghai 16
1. 23 China petrochemical prices rally amid restocking post-Chinese New Year 16
1. 24 China lubricants plants keen to blend medium-viscosity base oils on tight imports 17
1. 25 Sinochem to kick off 2 chemical projects in Ningxia 18
1. 26 Hainan to build petrochemical production, storage base 18
1. 27 NE. China still ranks as China’s top gasoline producer in Feb 18
1. 28 China builds up 13 oil refineries of over 10-mil mt/y capacity - CPCIA 19
1. 29 China Oil Supply-Demand Overview in Feb’2010 19
Jan-Feb’2010 Domestic crude runs & oil products production: 19
Feb’2010 Domestic crude runs & oil products production: 20
China’s Crude Throughput & oil Products Yield Rate in Jan-Feb’2010: 20
1. 30 Gasoline/Gas Oil Vs LPG prices in S. China & E. China over the past three months 21
Curve 1: Gasoline/Gas Oil Vs LPG prices in S. China over the past 3 months: US$/6.83/113% or /117% 21
Curve 2: Gasoline/Gas Oil Vs LPG prices in E. China over the past 3 months: US$/6.83/113% or /117% 22
2 Major Refineries 22
2. 1 Sinopec 22
2. 1. 1 Sinopec boosts crude throughput target by 17% on yearly in H1’10 22
2. 1. 2 Sinopec to increase refinery capacity 10-mil mt in 2010 22
2. 1. 3 Sinopec up refined oil product output target by 8% yearly in Q2 23
2. 1. 4 Sinopec up LPG product output in Q2 23
2. 1. 5 Sino-Kuwait’s US$9-bln refinery deal may get nod by year end 23
2. 1. 6 Sinopec’s H1 base oils output may stabilize despite 17% crude run target growth 24
2. 1. 7 S . China - Sinopec Maoming to finish maintenance of one 1.2-mil mt/yr RFCC soon 24
2. 1. 8 S . China - Sinopec to expand Maoming Petrochemical’s oil storage capacity 24
2. 1. 9 S . China - Sinopec Guangzhou’s fire-hit CDU seen shut for 20 days 25
2. 1. 10 S. China - Sinopec Dongxing’s crude run target hits year-high level in Mar 25
2. 1. 11 S . China - Sinopec Dongxing Refinery to export 5,000mt of fuel oil under processing trade in Mar 25
2. 1. 12 E. China - Sinopec Zhenhai to maintenance 6-mil mt/yr CDU Feb 28 and would enter into an overhaul period this Mar 26
2. 1. 13 E . China - Sinopec Shanghai plans record-high cruderun in 2010 26
2. 1. 14 E. China - Sinopec Shanghai to supply butane-rich LPG from mid Mar 27
2. 1. 15 E. China - Sinopec Gaoqiao cuts Mar runs on DCU repair 27
2. 1. 16 E . China - Sinopec mulls project to expand integrated oil refinery and petrochemical complex in Fujian 27
2. 1. 17 E . China - A new round of expansion at Sinopec-BASF Nanjing production site 27
2. 1. 18 Central China expects tighter petcoke supply after Sinopec Jiujiang brings two new CFB boilers on stream 28
2. 1. 19 Central China - Sinopec Changling to complete new CDU construction by year-end 28
2. 1. 20 Central China - Sinopec Changling to cut LPG daily output by 37.5% early Apr 29
2. 1. 21 Central China - Sinopec Jingmen continues base oils supply cutoff in Mar 29
2. 1. 22 Central China - Sinopec Luoyang to raise capacity by 25% by August 29
2. 1. 23 N. China - Sinopec Tianjin’s Q2 crude throughput to hit record-high 30,000mt/day 30
2. 1. 24 N. China - Sinopec Tianjin ethylene project starts oil product exporting 30
2. 1. 25 N. China - Sinopec Qilu to cut daily crude runs by 32% in Mar 30
2. 1. 26 SW. China - Sinopec to supply 725,000mt of gas oil & gasoline to SW. China via pipeline in Mar, up 12% on month 30
2. 2 CNPC (Petrochina) 31
2. 2. 1 PetroChina to cut down daily crude throughput in 3rd consecutive month in Feb 31
2. 2. 2 Fluor confirms study for China refinery, petrochemical complex 31
2. 2. 3 S. China - PetroChina Gaofu to start maintenance late Feb or early Mar 31
2. 2. 4 NE. China - PetroChina Dalian to export 10,000mt of base oils in Feb 32
2. 2. 5 NE. China –PetroChina Liaohe start maintenance on around Feb 24 32
2. 2. 6 NE. China –PetroChina Dalian WEPEC restarts bitumen production 33
2. 2. 7 NE. China –PetroChina WEPEC’s Mar crude runs turn normal after FCC maintenance 33
2. 2. 8 NE. China –PetroChina Jinzhou to cut crude runs by 60% in Jun 33
2. 2. 9 NW. China - CNPC, Jiangsu firm to build refinery in Xinjiang 34
2. 2. 10 NW. China –PetroChina’s Dushanzi refinery to boost output in 2010 34
2. 2. 11 NW. China –CNPC to start fertilizer project in Ningxia 34
2. 2. 12 N. China –PetroChina Huabei to refine 1.4% less crude in Mar 35
2. 3 CNOOC 35
2. 3. 1 CNOOC plans to lift Yellow River Delta petroleum refining capacity 35
2. 4 Independent Refineries 35
2. 4. 1 China’s local and small refineries ran below 40% of capacity in 2009 35
2. 4. 2 Shandong Changyi to shut down 5-mil mt/yr CDU Mar 5 36
2. 4. 3 Petcoke yield reduction of independent refineries estimated to maximize 260,000mt in Mar 36
2.5 Main China refineries’ Crude Runs and Run Rates in Mar’2010               Unit:10kt 37
2.6 Refinery Turnarounds 38
3 Policy, Regulation & Law 39
3. 1 The Ministry of Commerce (MOC) grants oil wholesale licenses to 5 firms 39
3. 2 Shengli crude settlement price down 8.3% to Yuan 3,776/mt in Mar 39
3. 3 PetroChina lowers Mar inner settlement price of Daqing crude by 6% to Yuan 4,196/mt 39
3. 4 Sinopec stabilizes March base oils ex-refinery prices; PetroChina lifts Mar base oils prices by Yuan 500/mt 40
3. 5 Sinopec suggests changing oil price adjustment schedule 40
3. 6 China lawmakers call for more crude, fuel reserves 41
3. 7 Sinopec Group sets up new department to strengthen upstream business 41
3. 8 China considers new natural gas pricing system 41
3. 9 China’s energy consumption per unit of GDP down 2.2% in 2009 42
3. 10 China to focus on adjusting energy structure 42
3. 11 Political advisers urge China government to loosen control on crude oil imports 43
3. 12 China government to continue subsidies for environmentally friendly practices 43
3. 13 China to accelerate development of coalbed gas industry 43
4 China Oil Products Import & Export 44
4. 1 China crude oil imports exceed 50% of total consumption in 2010 44
4. 2 China may remain net fuel exporter in 2010, CNPC says 44
4. 3 China may export 12-mil mt of refined oil under processing trade in 2010 45
4. 4 China’s Feb fuel oil imports stay low at estimated 1.2-mil mt 46
4. 5 China’s Jan-Feb crude imports up 45% yoy to 35.62-mil mt 46
4. 6 CNPC Dalian Petrochemical exports 30,000mt of diesel 46
4. 7 China’s gas and diesel exports still high in Jan 46
4. 8 Middle East-origin crude takes up fewer shares in China’s crude imports in Jan 47
4. 9 China reduces jet supply to international flight by 62% to 188,600mt in Jan 47
4. 10 China’s Jan South Korean bitumen imports up by 83% on yearly 47
4. 11 Angola as China’s top oil supplier in Jan 47
4. 12 Sinopec to export 115,000mt of gas oil from S. China in Mar, up 53% on month 48
4. 13 Sinopec to export 118,500mt of gasoline from s. China in Mar, up 36% on month 49
4. 14 GS Caltex to cut Mar base oils exports to China by 10% in Mar 49
4. 15 Russia’ Luk Refinery to boost Mar base oils exports to China by 29.4% 49
4. 16 China’s imports of S. Korea fuel oil estimated to touch 1-year low in Mar 49
4. 17 OIL DATA: Oil Products Imports & Exports in China in Jan’2010 50
5 Jan-Feb’2010 China Data 51
5.1 Feb’2010 Crude Oil Production in China      Unit: KMt 51
5.2 Feb’2010 China Refineries on Crude Throughput      Unit: KMt 52
5.3 Feb’2010 China Refineries on Gasoline/Gas Oil production   Unit: KMt 53
5.4 Feb’2010 China Refineries on Kerosene & Fuel Oil production   Unit: KMt 54
5.5 Feb’2010 China Refineries on LPG & Asphalt production      Unit: KMt 55
5.6 Feb’2010 China Refineries on Lubricating Grease & Solvent Naphtha production      Unit: KMt 56
5.7 Feb’2010 China Refineries on Naphtha & Petroleum Coke production      Unit: KMt 57
5.8 Feb’2010 China Refineries on Ethylene & Pure benzene  production      Unit: KMt 58
 

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