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SZ China Refining Monthly Report-Jun’2010
[Sunday, Oct. 24, 2010] PRINT EMAIL FAV PDF

China Refining Monthly Report-Jun’2010 1
1 China Refining Topic News 6
1. 1 China top refineries to extend 2nd highest runs in Jun’2010 6
1. 2 China’s oil-refining capacity to grow 50% by 2015 7
1. 3 China’s Excessive Refinery Capacity 9
1. 4 China majors’ fuel stocks down for 3rd straight month in May’2010 9
1. 5 China crude imports off peak, fuel stocks down in May’2010 10
1. 6 China’s crude apparent consumption surges 21% to 141.48-mil mt in Jan-Apr’2010 10
1. 7 China’s bitumen apparent consumption ascends by near 30% in Jan-Apr’2010 11
1. 8 China dependency on imported oil hits record 55% in Q1’2010 11
1. 9 China may see fuel surplus in 2011, according to PetroChina 12
1. 10 The production of GB III gasoline to see a bottleneck in China 12
1. 11 S. China’s Guangzhou to implement GB IV vehicle fuel standards in Aug’2010 13
1. 12 China petrochemical output value reaches new high in Apr’2010 14
1. 13 Petcoke demand in China pressured by emerging aluminum plants shutdowns 14
1. 14 S. China refineries to boost Fuel oil supply by 28% on monthly to 164,000mt in Jun’2010 15
1. 15 The increase of run rate further weigh on China’s bitumen market 15
1. 16 Commercial fuel oil stock down in East China and Shandong Province and up in Sout China market Jun 9, 2010 15
1. 17 PetroChina, Sinopec lower fuel price by Yuan 1-1.3 /liter in Hubei Province starting from Jun 1, 2010 17
1. 18 Price war looms China lubricants market as sales stranded in end May’2010 17
1. 19 CNOOC commences heavy oil research center in Shandong’s Qingdao in May 17
1. 20 Chinese firm to invest usd23 billion for three refineries and one petrochemical plant in Nigeria 18
1. 21 NDRC approved CNPC to set up JV refinery in Chad 18
1. 22 China Oil Supply-Demand Overview in May’2010 19
Jan-May’2010 Domestic crude runs & oil products production: 19
May’2010 Domestic crude runs & oil products production: 19
China’s Crude Throughput & oil Products Yield Rate in Jan-May’2010 (Unit:10kt): 20
1. 23 Gasoline/Gas Oil Vs LPG prices in S. China & E. China over the past three months 21
Curve 1: Gasoline/Gas Oil Vs LPG prices in S. China over the past 3 months: US$/6.83/113% or /117% 21
Curve 2: Gasoline/Gas Oil Vs LPG prices in E. China over the past 3 months: US$/6.83/113% or /117% 22
2 Major Refineries 22
2. 1 Sinopec 22
2. 1. 1 Sinopec to refine 7% more crude oil daily in Jun’2010 22
2. 1. 2 Sinopec to process 10% more crude in 2010 compared with 2009 22
2. 1. 3 Sinopec expects 2010 oil products sales to rise less than 5% on yearly 23
2. 1. 4 S. China - Beihai-Nanning segment of Sinopec’s South China oil products pipeline network start 23
2. 1. 5 S. China - Sinopec to outsource 400,000mt of distillates in southern China in Jun’10, flat on month 24
2. 1. 6 S. China - Sinopec Dongxing Refinery to record stable daily crude throughput in Jun’10 24
2. 1. 7 S. China - Sinopec Maoming to boost daily crude throughput for Jun’10 to new high 24
2. 1. 8 S. China - Sinopec Maoming’s Q3 crude throughput target largely stable at 3.4-mil mt 24
2. 1. 9 S. China - Sinopec Maoming to boost daily LPG commercial production by 17.2% 25
2. 1. 10 E. China - Sinopec Yangzi to stable Jun’10 crude oil throughput at 700,000mt 25
2. 1. 11 Central China - Sinopec Wuhan plans to build 1.8-mil mt/yr wax oil hydrogenation unit in 2010 25
2. 1. 12 Central China - Sinopec Anqing to process 1.18-mil mt of crude oil in Q3’10 25
2. 1. 13 Central China - Sinopec Luoyang’s Jun’10 crude throughput stable at 600,000mt 26
2. 1. 14 N. China - Sinopec to raise Shijiazhuang refinery’s capacity 26
2. 1. 15 N. China - Sinopec Hubei to build 500 gas stations in 2010-2012 26
2. 1. 16 N. China - Sinopec Qilu’s daily crude throughput stable at 30,000mt in Jun’10 26
2. 1. 17 N. China - Sinopec Ji’nan up Jun’10 crude throughput by 42% on monthly 27
2. 1. 18 SW. China - Sinopec to supply 710,000mt of distillates to SW. China via pipeline in Jun’10, down 1.4% on month 27
2. 1. 19 SW. China - Sinopec to complete 3-mil mt product oil pipeline at Chongqing in 2011 27
2. 2 CNPC (Petrochina) 28
2. 2. 1 PetroChina to keep high daily crude throughput in Jun’10 28
2. 2. 2 PetroChina aims to boost coal-bed methane production 28
2. 2. 3 NE. China – PetroChina WEPEC to refine 9% less crude oil in Jun’ 10 29
2. 2. 4 NE. China –Dalian WEPEC to see DMC output down tad in Jun’10 on lower crude throughput 29
2. 2. 5 NE. China –PetroChina to bring diesel pipeline linking Liaoyang Refinery online 29
2. 2. 6 NE. China –PetroChina Liaoyang to start 1.4 mil mt/yr reformer in Sep’10 29
2. 2. 7 NW. China - PetroChina plans to boost Xinjiang’s refining capacity to 26-mil mt/yr by 2015 30
2. 2. 8 SW. China - Air products to build hydrogen plant at Petrochina’s Sichuan Refinery 30
2. 3 CNOOC 31
2. 3. 1 CNOOC Huizhou refinery’s 400,000mt/yr base oils unit to start trial run in Nov’10 31
2. 4 Independent Refineries 32
2. 4. 1 Shandong Shenchi Petrochemical to bring on stream 1-mil mt/yr CDU on Jun 8, 2010 32
2. 4. 2 Abu Dhabi-based polymer manufacturer Borouge to build compounded polypropylene plant in China 32
2. 4. 3 Southern Petrochemical to restart Dongguan Xinneng Fuel oil end Jun’10 32
2. 5 Other Refineries 33
2. 5. 1 Hainan Handi Yangguang to launch Group II base oils unit in Oct’10 33
2. 5. 2 KBR to license Aniline Tech for Grassroots Plant in China 33
2.6 Main China refineries’ Crude Runs and Run Rates in May’2010               Unit:10kt 34
2.7 Refinery Turnarounds 35
3 Policy, Regulation & Law 36
3. 1 China government to cut down oil products retail ceilings by Yuan 220-230/mt from Jun 1’10 36
3. 2 China announced a 24.9 percent rise in natural gas prices on onshore wellhead prices - NDRC 36
3. 3 China LPG ex-refinery ceiling price falls on cuts of distillates prices from Jun 1, 2010 37
3. 3 PetroChina decreases oil product ex-refinery prices by Yuan 220-230/mt on Jun 1, 2010 37
3. 4 PetroChina, Sinopec to seek independent pricing of refined oil 38
3. 5 China petrochemical players wary of Middle East competition 39
3. 6 China government to overhaul natural-resource tax 39
3. 7 China begins trial of energy tax in Xinjiang 40
3. 8 China to levy less resources tax on thick oil, high-sulfur gas production in Xinjiang 41
3. 9 Analysis: Green-car subsidy program not to affect China’s fuel demand 41
3. 10 Chinese transportation gets on the low-carbon track 42
3. 11 China and US to enhance cooperation on energy data 43
3. 12 China CBM plans building of coal-bed methane pipeline, targeting at downstream 43
3. 13 China yet to unfasten control on crude market, though involving private enterprises in national petroleum reserve 44
3. 14 Analysis: China faces mounting dependency on imported energy 45
3. 15 China expected to launch detailed rules on energy performance contracting in Jun’10 46
3. 16 PetroChina lowers Jun’10 inner settlement price of Daqing crude by 4.5% 46
3. 17 Sinopec cuts naphtha ex-refinery price by Yuan 270/mt since Jun 1, 2010 47
3. 18 Sinopec to cut base oils ex-refinery prices by Yuan 40/mt in Jun’10 47
3. 19 China’s natural gas price hike to have great impact on chemical fertilizer industry 47
3. 20 Shanghai Futures Exchange to revise specification of fuel oil for delivery in futures stocks 48
4 China Oil Products Import & Export 48
4. 1 China’s crude oil imports dip in May’10, but product oil exports surge, the General Administration of Customs 48
4. 2 China’s five-month oil imports rise on fuel demand 49
4. 3 China cuts petroleum product imports by 6.74% on month in May’10 49
4. 4 China’s Apr gasoline exports up 17% on month to 700,000mt 49
4. 5 S. China imports Iran 280CST straight-run HSFO after 1-year halt in Jun’10 50
4. 6 S. China’s Jun’10 fuel oil imports estimated to increase 67% on month to 600,000 - 650,000mt 50
4. 7 S. China’s May’10 fuel oil imports estimated to surge 31% from Apr’10 51
4. 9 Bohai Bay’s fuel oil imports estimated to decline 9% on month in Jun’10 51
4. 10 Shandong’s Apr’10 fuel oil imports surge 67% on month to 1.64-mil mt 52
4. 11 China increases petrochemical imports from Iran 52
4. 12 Polyolefin import and production figures for Jan-Apr’10 in China 52
4. 13 China to see over 360,000mt petcoke imports during end May’10 and early Jun’10 53
4. 14 Sinopec to export 70,000mt of petcoke in Jun ’10 53
4. 15 Taiwan CPC to export 25,000-mt bitumen to Mainland in Jun’10, flat with May’10 53
4. 16 Japan’s Cosmo to cut down bitumen supplies to China by 40% in Jun’10 54
4. 17 China’s bitumen imports from South Korea up by 13% in Apr’10 54
4. 18 SW. China sees bitumen imports slump in Apr’10 on shrunk demand 55
4. 19 Taiwan FPCC’s Jun’10 base oils exports to mainland China expected to plunge to 10,000mt 55
4. 20 China expects base oils import cost to stay firm in Jun’10 55
4. 21 Russia’s Angarsk refinery plans 10,000mt of base oils exports to China in Jun’10 55
4. 22 Merging Japan Energy-Nippon Oil to maintain base oils supply to China in Jul’10 56
4. 23 China up Apr’10 base oils imports by 10% on month to 253,384mt 56
4. 24 China’s lubricants imports down 4.81% in Apr’10 on ample domestic supply 57
4. 25 PetroChina expects 30% rise in heavy crude oil imports in 2010 57
4. 26 OIL DATA: Oil Products Imports & Exports in China in Apr’2010 57
5 Jan-May’2010 China Data 58
5.1 May’2010 Crude Oil Production in China      Unit: KMt 58
5.2 May’2010 China Refineries on Crude Throughput      Unit: KMt 59
5.3 May’2010 China Refineries on Gasoline/Gas Oil production   Unit: KMt 60
5.4 May’2010 China Refineries on Kerosene & Fuel Oil production   Unit: KMt 61
5.5 May’2010 China Refineries on LPG & Asphalt production      Unit: KMt 62
5.6 May’2010 China Refineries on Lubricating Grease & Solvent Naphtha production      Unit: KMt 63
5.7 May’2010 China Refineries on Naphtha & Petroleum Coke production      Unit: KMt 64
5.8 May’2010 China Refineries on Ethylene & Pure benzene  production      Unit: KMt 65

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