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SZ China Refining Monthly Report-July’2010
[Sunday, Oct. 24, 2010] PRINT EMAIL FAV PDF

China Refining Monthly Report-July’2010 1
1 China Refining Topic News 6
1. 1 China July’2010 crude runs to ease from June’2010 high 6
1. 2 China’s oil demand in June’2010 hits new high, up 10% from year ago 7
1. 3 China’s May’2010 oil demand up 9.8% to 36.48-mil mt 7
1. 4 China’s refinery expansion plans 8
1. 5 China majors’ fuel stocks down 4th month in a row in June’2010 9
1. 6 China’s sites for commercial oil storage 11
1. 7 China’s end-May ‘2010 commercial crude oil stocks at 27.5-mil mt, down 0.9% on monthly 13
1. 8 China June’2010 crude stocks up after 2-mth decline 13
1. 9 PetroChina raises inter-region diesel/gasoline settlement prices 14
1. 10 CNAF raises Q3 benchmark price of jet supplied to domestic airlines to Yuan 5,610/mt 14
1. 11 S. China yields 2.25-mil mt of bitumen in May’2010, up by 3.69% on month 15
1. 12 Run rate of China bitumen facilities up by 1% to 61% in June’2010 15
1. 13 China’s crude output refreshes record high in May 15
1. 14 China’s H1 gasoline output rises 6% yoy to 37.59-mil mt 15
1. 15 N. China boosts crude output by 29.36% yoy in Jan-Jun’2010 16
1. 16 NE. China tops with 8.42-mil mt of gasoline output in first half year 16
1. 17 NE. China records highest diesel output in Jan-Jun’10 17
1. 18 China’s ethylene demand may rise 4.5% a year till 2015 - Sinopec 17
1. 19 S. China sees more slurry-ethylene tar blend 18
1. 20 Sinopec to buy 400,000mt of gasoline, diesel from outside at South and East China in June 18
1. 21 Hydrogenation units become main force of refining industry in China 19
1. 22 Fuel oil supply from E. China-based refineries estimated down 6% in Jul 19
1. 23 Yangshan product oil storage project in East China enters trial operations 19
1. 24 Sinopec, PetroChina to supply over 50,000mt of base oils to spot market in Jul’2010 19
1. 25 N. China’s Tianjin port ships out 187,000mt of oil products in Jun, up 43% on month 20
1. 26 China inks MOU with Nigeria to build US$8 bln oil refinery 20
1. 27 Sinochem inks strategic oil service deal with CNPC, Sinopec 20
1. 28 US orders PetroChina not to refine Sudanese oil 21
1. 29 PetroChina likely to start operating Changsha section of Lanzhou – Zhengzhou - Changsha Oil Product Pipeline before yearend 21
1. 22 China Oil Supply-Demand Overview in Jun’2010 22
Jan-Jun’2010 Domestic crude runs & oil products production: 22
Jun’2010 Domestic crude runs & oil products production: 22
China’s Crude Throughput & oil Products Yield Rate in Jan-Jun’2010 (Unit: mil mt): 23
1. 23 Gasoline/Gas Oil Vs LPG prices in S. China & E. China over the past three months 24
Curve 1: Gasoline/Gas Oil Vs LPG prices in S. China over the past 3 months: US$/6.78/113% or /117% 24
Curve 2: Gasoline/Gas Oil Vs LPG prices in E. China over the past 3 months: US$/6.78/113% or /117% 24
2 Major Refineries 25
2. 1 Sinopec 25
2. 1. 1 Sinopec set crude throughput at 17.6-17.8-mil mt in total in July ’2010 25
2. 1. 2 Sinopec to unify fuel oil marketing of some subsidiary refineries in Q3’2010 25
2. 1. 3 Marubeni, Sinopec jointly seek $1 bln deals to build refineries 25
2. 1. 4 S. China -Sinopec to cut Jul’10 oil product outsourcing target by 25% to 300,000mt in southern China 26
2. 1. 5 S. China - Sinopec Maoming up Jul’s crude throughput to record high 26
2. 1. 6 S. China - Sinopec Guangzhou to cut crude throughput by 2% to 1-mil mt in Jul’2010 26
2. 1. 7 E. China - Sinopec to cut crude processing at Yangzi Refinery on losses 26
2. 1. 8 E. China - Sinopec Shanghai to start maintenance on 1-mil mt/yr FCC on Jul 16 27
2. 1. 9 Central China - Henan’s Luoyang to add 80,000cu m distillates tanks in May 2011 27
2. 1. 10 Central. China - Sinopec Luoyang cuts LPG output by 44% owing to unexpected hitches 27
2. 1. 11 Central China - Sinopec Wuhan new ethylene project to see investment of 4 bln yuan 27
2. 1. 12 N. China - Sinopec takes over fuel oil sales business of three subsidiary refineries in Shandong 28
2. 1. 13 N. China - Sinopec Tianjin to process record high 1.01-mil mt crude oil in Jul’2010 28
2. 1. 14 N. China - Sinopec Shengli oilfield offshore oil output accumulates to 30-mil mt 28
2. 1. 15 NW. China - Sinopec Tahe to complete 3.5-mil mt/yr refining capacity expansion project end’10 28
2. 1. 16 SW. China - Sinopec to supply 728,000mt of distillates to SW. China via pipeline in Jul, up 2.5% on month 29
2. 2 CNPC (Petrochina) 29
2. 2. 1 PetroChina to cut down daily crude throughput by 4.26% in Jul’10 29
2. 2. 2 CNPC doubled refinery spending during 11th Five-year plan 29
2. 2. 3 PetroChina to ship 1.74-mil mt of distillates to southern China in Jul’10, up 1.33% on month 30
2. 2. 4 PetroChina to ship 1.713-mil mt of distillates to southern China in Jun’10, down 1.13% on month 30
2. 2. 5 PetroChina to cut base oils output by 6.4% in Jul on refinery maintenance 30
2. 2. 6 PetroChina reduces Jul’2010 inner settlement price of Daqing crude oil by 6.6% 31
2. 2. 7 S. China - PetroChina Qinzhou refinery to start commercial operation in Aug’10 31
2. 2. 8 NE. China - PetroChina Dalian H1 crude run up 24% to 8.63-mil mt 31
2. 2. 9 NE. China –PetroChina Dalian to cut Jun’10 base oils output by 63.3% on maintenance 31
2. 2. 10 NE. China –Rosneft, CNPC to make refinery decision around Aug – official 32
2. 2. 11 NE. China - Dalian WEPEC plans to stabilize Jul crude throughput at 700,000mt 32
2. 2. 12 NE. China - Dalian WEPEC cut down daily crude oil runs by 20% on pipeline explosion 33
2. 2. 13 NW. China - PetroChina’s Ningxia refinery to start production by end-2011 33
2. 2. 14 NW. China - PetroChina plans upgrade at Lanzhou refinery 34
2. 2. 14 SW. China - CNPC to level ground for Yunnan refinery in Oc’2010 34
2. 3 CNOOC 34
2. 3. 1 CNOOC to build refinery plant in Shandong 34
2. 4 Independent Refineries 35
2. 4. 1 Shandong independents’ CDU run rate slips two% to 45% on Jul 8 35
2. 4. 2 Fuel oil supply from Shandong refineries estimated up 11% in Jul’2010 36
2.6 Main China refineries’ Crude Runs and Run Rates in Jul’2010               Unit:10kt 37
2.7 Refinery Turnarounds 38
3 Policy, Regulation & Law 39
3. 1 China cuts refined oil prices, lifts natural gas prices 39
3. 2 China 2011-2015 plan for petroleum and chemical industry to eye 40
3. 3 China’s top legislature adopts law on protection of oil pipelines 41
3. 4 China vows to crack down LPG-DME mixture 41
3. 5 Methanol anti-dumping probe extended by 6 months - China’s Ministry of Commerce 41
3. 6 RMB appreciation not likely to significantly impact China’s oil and gas imports – experts 42
3. 7 China to pump oil reserve to private tanks by yr-end 42
3. 8 Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement (ECFA) signed to boost mainland’s petrochemical imports from Taiwan 43
3. 9 Shandong government strengthens regulation to prevent distillates consumption tax evasion 46
3. 10 China North Industries acquires crude import license 46
3. 11 PetroChina reduces Jul naphtha ex-refinery price by 10% 47
3. 12 Sinopec cuts naphtha ex-refinery price by Yuan 410/mt since Jul 1, 2010 47
3. 13 China needs to increase renewable-energy capacity to reach 2020 target 47
3. 14 China scrapping of export tax rebates on carbon, glass products to hit petcoke demand 48
3. 15 China plans new resource tax on coal oil and gas in western areas 49
3. 16 Carbon tariffs may impact China’s exports of textiles and other industrial products 49
4 China Oil Products Import & Export 50
4. 1 OIL DATA: Table Of China May’2010 Oil, Oil Product, LNG Imports 50
4. 2 China June crude oil imports hit 22.27-mil mt, monthly record high 54
4. 3 China raises petroleum product imports by 4.09% on month in Jun’10 54
4. 4 China gasoline export revenue drops further on decline in Singapore prices 54
4. 5 China’s base oils imports may stay at low level in Jul 55
4. 6 China scraps Jun base oils import plan from Iran on dull domestic demand 55
4. 7 China estimated to boost Aug LPG imports by 30% 56
4. 8 East Asian refineries to cut down Jul’10 bitumen supplies to China 56
4. 9 China estimated to cut down Jul fuel oil imports by 24% over shrinking speculative demand 57
4. 10 S. China’s Jun’10 fuel oil imports estimated to surge 250% on month 57
4. 11 S. China’s fuel oil imports for Jul’10 estimated to plunge 54% to 300,000-350,000mt 58
4. 12 E. China’s fuel oil imports in Jul’10 estimated to plunge 31% from Jun’10 58
4. 13 Sinopec to export from S. China 155,000mt of distillates in Jul ’10 58
4. 14 Sinopec to import 7-mil mt of crude from Brazil in 2010 59
4. 15 OIL DATA: Oil Products Imports & Exports in China in May’2010 59
5 Jan-Jun’2010 China Data 60
5.1 Jun’2010 Crude Oil Production in China      Unit: KMt 60
5.2 Jun’2010 China Refineries on Crude Throughput      Unit: KMt 61
5.3 Jun’2010 China Refineries on Gasoline/Gas Oil production   Unit: KMt 62
5.4 Jun’2010 China Refineries on Kerosene & Fuel Oil production   Unit: KMt 63
5.5 Jun’2010 China Refineries on LPG & Asphalt production      Unit: KMt 64
5.6 Jun’2010 China Refineries on Lubricating Grease & Solvent Naphtha production      Unit: KMt 65
5.7  Jun’2010 China Refineries on Naphtha & Petroleum Coke production      Unit: KMt 66
5.8 Jun’2010 China Refineries on Ethylene & Pure benzene  production      Unit: KMt 67

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